Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.493494 0.570981 0.655858 0.755625 0.869575 0.995552 1.145276
2025-06-15 0.383861 0.494512 0.628184 0.801013 1.017978 1.280718 1.622370
2025-06-22 0.296656 0.413807 0.565893 0.776672 1.059948 1.426038 1.933375
2025-06-29 0.238670 0.355694 0.516942 0.753545 1.089701 1.547603 2.215505
2025-07-06 0.197699 0.312295 0.478658 0.735201 1.117641 1.662691 2.493274
2025-07-13 0.174830 0.290773 0.467020 0.750912 1.192242 1.846382 2.881584
2025-07-20 0.161464 0.281310 0.471177 0.789159 1.302263 2.089655 3.377935
2025-07-27 0.147422 0.268349 0.467520 0.813475 1.391454 2.307436 3.852970
2025-08-03 0.132614 0.251750 0.455398 0.821626 1.453961 2.487021 4.281331
2025-08-10 0.118171 0.233606 0.438097 0.818270 1.495619 2.634640 4.667995
2025-08-17 0.104781 0.215425 0.418304 0.807742 1.522794 2.758837 5.023760
2025-08-24 0.093661 0.199960 0.401415 0.800107 1.553399 2.890010 5.400374
2025-08-31 0.081355 0.180690 0.375562 0.773690 1.548591 2.961205 5.682677
2025-09-07 0.078679 0.180835 0.387306 0.820839 1.686417 3.301209 6.480399
2025-09-14 0.068887 0.164446 0.364048 0.795974 1.682772 3.379455 6.799805
2025-09-21 0.060510 0.149901 0.342704 0.772307 1.678497 3.455028 7.118752
2025-09-28 0.053621 0.137701 0.324771 0.753534 1.681766 3.544503 7.470494
2025-10-05 0.050235 0.133250 0.323173 0.769613 1.758785 3.785468 8.140257
2025-10-12 0.048785 0.133301 0.331649 0.808756 1.888390 4.142458 9.071168
2025-10-19 0.046428 0.130739 0.333774 0.833640 1.989022 4.447274 9.917339
2025-10-26 0.043229 0.125535 0.329021 0.841982 2.053409 4.680667 10.630999
2025-11-02 0.039663 0.118819 0.319776 0.838547 2.090410 4.857795 11.237015
2025-11-09 0.036063 0.111467 0.308059 0.827773 2.109187 4.996327 11.769180